Seven Problems, seven Tools
Although strategic foresight is an intellectual “non-discipline” it nevertheless requires rigor and formalization, which clarify action and lead towards desired futures.
The toolbox allows the strategist to ask the right questions and reduce incoherencies and uncertainties.
Strategic foresight is an art that requires talents like...Prospective softwares and toolbox
Thanks to the experience and imagination of François Bourse, the reworked collaborative tool " Prospective Workshops " now completes and replaces the downloadable files developed by Michel Godet in 1985. This software was developed in 2015. (See Creating Futures in the BOOKS section of the website la prospective)
Structural analysis is a tool designed to structure collective reflection, a legacy of the systems analysis work of the RAND Corporation as detailed in Erik Jantsch's famous book. The Micmac method (Matrix-based Multiplication Applied to a Classification) was developed by Michel Godet in 1971. This method was applied to key factors in the development of nuclear energy in 1974 with J.C. Duperrin (CEA, Atomic Energy Council in France).
Scenaring Tools was developed in 2015 by François Bourse and Michel Godet by drawing on Zwicky's morphological analysis. Scenaring Tools combine prospective basics and scenario building through morphological analysis. It is actually a service bundle including several modules of which two, "Prospective Radar" and "Morphol", are presented in the current version.
Cross-impact probability methods aim to define simple and conditional probabilities of hypotheses and /or events, as well as the probabilities of combinations of the latter, taking into account interactions between events or hypotheses. The goal of these methods is not only to tease out the most plausible scenarios for decision-makers, but also to examine combinations of hypotheses that one would have initially excluded.
Originally developed in the 1970s by Dr François Régnier, the abacus method or the color-coded voting method was reworked by Stan Zeltner and Kévin Walter in 2013 on behalf of the Circle for Prospective Action (CPA). Color Insight is a tool used to manage participation by collecting participants' perceptions in a Prospective procedure and rendering them in the form of colored cards.
These workshops were developed in 1985 and have been applied hundreds of times.
Companies and Territories - "Guideline for strategic prospective workshops"
Michel Godet in collaboration with Nathalie Bassaler, Régine Monti and Saphia Richou National Conservatory for Arts and Industries -
This seminar allows participants to become familiar...Strategic Prospective Workshops
Structural analysis is a tool designed to structure collective reflection, a legacy of the systems analysis work of the RAND Corporation as detailed in Erik Jantsch’s famous book.
Structural analysis is a tool that structures the pooling of ideas. This form of analysis describes a system using a matrix which combines the constituent components of the...Micmac
Developed in 1989-1990 by François Bourse and Michel Godet, was first used on air transportation problems
The Mactor method of analyzing actors' games seeks to gauge the balance of power between actors and study their convergences and divergences when faced with a certain number of associated stakes and objectives.
By means of this analysis,...Mactor
The Prob-Expert method was developed by Michel Godet in 1974 and applied to issues in nuclear energy.
Cross-impact probability methods aim to define simple and conditional probabilities of hypotheses and /or events, as well as the probabilities of combinations of the latter, taking into account interactions between events or hypotheses.
The goal of these methods...Smic-Prob Expert
Like any multi-criteria method, MULTIPOL seeks to compare different actions or solutions for problems according to multiple criteria and policies.
MULTIPOL's aim is to help decision-making by drawing up a simple and evolving analysis grid of the different actions or solutions available to the decisionmaker.
Description of the...Multipol